Slot Machine Math

Slot machine math

The author does not just throw the slot mathematics to the audience and run away, but offers an ultimate practical contribution with the chapter "How to estimate the number of stops and the symbol distribution on a reel", a surprise for both players and producers, where one can see that mathematics provides players with some statistical methods as well as methods based on physical measurements for retrieving these missing data.

Therefore, the combination of stops should be naturally taken as an elementary event of the probability field. The most common type of mechanical slot Free pop slots coins without survey has three reels, with twenty symbols on each reel. As it is primarily addressed to the slot player, its goal is to present practical applications of the mathematical models of slot games, in order to provide numerical results that a player can use as criteria for gaming decisions or just as information for any slot game and any predicted winning event.

If the machine has blank stops, the blank should be considered as a symbol among them. Slot machines use a random selection process to achieve a set of theoretical odds. In such configuration, there is no group of independent lines, regardless the shape or other properties of the lines.

An immediate consequence of the definition of independent lines is that if two lines intersect each other (that is, they share common stops), they are non-independent, so any group of lines containing them will be non-independent.

Would you be willing to bet that you can guess that number?

For more mathematics in everyday life, visitkjosic.wordpress.com.

 

This episode was first aired on September 7th,



The Engines of Our Ingenuity is Copyright © by John H.

Lienhard.


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Slot math: The science behind the game (part 1). Understanding slot machine math can be daunting for even the most seasoned individual. However, by reprogramming the chip, the operator has full control over the likelihood of each of the different outcomes.

And that gives those who know math a very solid advantage.

I'm Kre�imir Josi&#;, at the University of Houston, where we're interested in the way inventive minds work.

(Theme music)


NOTE: In the example with three cherries, I assumed that one only wins in the case the spin results in three Slot machine math, and there is no other winning combination.

Besides being difficult to tune and maintain, mechanical slot machines suffered from an essential problem: Let�s look at a machine with three reels, each with 12 symbols, with one of those 12 symbols a cherry.

slot machine mathematician

A maths-based approach to winning slot games includes working out the probability of you winning a slot game and to work out the probability of a particular. The standard length of a payline is 3. Another possibility is to put more symbols on each reel.

Mathematicians first got interested in randomness by studying games of chance. Each slot machine belongs to one of the two types: Type A – All reels have the same distribution of symbols; Type B – The reels have different numbers of stops.

Firstly, for any casino the game. The configuration of a slot machine is specified by the configuration of its display and the configuration of its reels.
The display of a slot machine shows the outcomes of the reels in groups of spots (spot refers to a unit part of a reel holding one symbol, visible through its Slots lv casino no deposit bonus a spot on the display corresponds to a stop of the reel; a window can show one or more spots) having a certain shape and arrangement.

On virtual slot machines and slot games in new slot sites, the physical configuration is replaced by parametric constraints upon the RNG (Random Number Generator).
For the probability calculus in slots, only a part of the parameters and properties of the entire configuration of a slot machine do count [].

Any double or two cherries or two oranges or at least one cherry are also complex events of type 1.

Complex events of type 2. Two lines that are not independent will be called non-independent. It is simply because what people assume is happening in a slot machine is very different from what is actually happening.

Th Magican oil painting
The Magician oil painting by Hieronymus Boschfrom between and

The history of gambling is also intertwined with that of a less reputable group — tricksters and swindlers.

For instance adding a fourth reel in the previous example would get us to a jackpot of about $20, But people do not like machines with more reels — they intuitively, and rightfully, feel that extra reels diminish their chance of winning. The practical results are gathered in the last chapter, titled "Practical Applications and Numerical Results," the largest part of the book, for the most popular categories of slot machines, namely with 3, 5, 9, and 16 reels.

This eighth book of the author on gambling math presents in accessible terms the cold mathematics behind the sparkling slot machines, either physical or. However, the only way to increase the payout is to decrease the chances of hitting a jackpot.

Adding another reel is a possibility. These results are focused on probability and expected value, these being the most important parameters for decisional criteria in slots.

In the last decade, mathematics has been taken more and more seriously into account in gaming, as being the essence that governs the games of chance and the only rigorous tool providing information Slot machine math optimal play, where possible. In other words, use a chip to control where the reels stop on a spin, but create the illusion that the wheels stopped on their own. The standard length of a payline is 4, but it could also have the length 3, 6, 7, or 8.

Slot machine math The fascinating maths and economics of slot machines

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  • How Casinos Use Math To Make Money When You Play The Slots

The length of a line is the cardinality of that set. Most of the slot machines have the display arranged as a rectangular grid. For instance, any triple on paylines 1 or 2 is a complex event of type 3.

the mathematics of slots pdf

However, by reprogramming the chip, the operator has full control over the likelihood of each of the different outcomes. When estimating the probability of Slot machine math event related to several lines, some topological properties of that group of lines do count; for instance, the independence of the lines:

We call two lines independent if they do not contain stops of the same reel.

nis specific to that payline.
Each slot machine belongs to one of the two types:
Type A – All reels have the same distribution of symbols;
Type B – The reels have different numbers of stops and each symbol has different distributions on the stops of the reels.
In case A, denote by High volatility slot machines number of stops on each reel and by  the distribution (number of instances) of symbol  on each reel ();
In case B, denote by  the number of stops on reel number jand by  the distribution of symbol  on reel number j( and ).
Given a specific symbol , the probability of  occurring on a reel after a spin is  in case A and  in case B, where jis the number of that reel.

Ocean Downs Slot Payouts

Maryland casinos are asking permission to lower the average payouts of their slot machines by as much as 3 percent. Maryland Lottery and Gaming Commission formally approved the proposed change in state regulation, but timing of a final decision by state officials has not yet been decided. A review by the News4 I-Team found Maryland casino slot machines have an average payout that trails those in some casinos in neighboring states but is higher than the average payouts in some casinos in West Virginia and New Jersey. Maryland slot machines, formally referred to as video lottery terminals, pay out slightly less on average than they did in , the I-Teams review found. nbsp;FYFYFYHollywoodOcean DownsMaryland LiveRocky Gap--Horseshoe----nbsp;Delaware ParkDover DownsHarringtonFYFYFYFYnbsp;MountaineerWheaton IslandMardi GrasCharles TownGreenbrierFYFYFYThe request to allow lower payouts comes amid criticism from some gamblers about tight slot machines at D. -area casinos. Several of those formal complaints were obtained by the I-Team through state of Freedom of Information Act laws. The I-Teams review found many of the complaints are unsupported by state data but are written in forceful language. One Maryland casino patron wrote state officials, These machines have a low to nonexistent payout. Another complained Maryland casinos are driving out gamblers on fixed incomes. Casinos might opt against lowering their payouts, even if regulations allowed them to do so, state gaming officials said. Casinos are under competitive pressure with each other to lure and keep customers, officials said. Hollywood Perryville Casino was the only one of Marylands casinos to agree to comment on the proposed regulation change. There is an opportunity for additional revenue for the state and the casino, a spokeswoman said. We support the change but do not plan to have a specific strategy to change our operation in any way. We have to stay competitive within the state and outside our borders, and customers need to know they can win here as much as at any casino around the area. A regulation allowing lower slot machine payouts would negatively impact problem gamblers, health advocates said, because the state would not require the industry to spend additional money on programs to help the addicted. The state would keep more money, because there would be more revenue from the slot machines, but there wouldnt be more money going into the problem gambling fund, National Council on Problem Gambling Executive Director Keith Whyte said. Problem gamblers are unlikely to notice or care if casinos lowered slot machine payouts, he said. Problem gamblers are not very sensitive to payouts, he said. The regulation change, allowing casinos to lower average slot machine payouts, is better aligned with current Maryland state casino laws, a spokeswoman for the Maryland Lottery and Gaming Commission said. "Our research indicated that Maryland was the only jurisdiction that restricted casinos ability to control their floor average beyond the statutory machine minimum payout, which is 87 percent, the spokeswoman said. This change was made to align our regulations with the industry standard and provide the casinos with the flexibility they need to remain competitive.

It is simply because what people assume is happening in a slot machine is very different from what is actually happening.

Th Magican oil painting
The Magician oil painting by Hieronymus Boschfrom between and

The history of gambling is also intertwined with that of a less reputable group — tricksters and swindlers.

The configuration of the display can be defined and modeled mathematically through a Cartesian grid of integers, where the grid&#;s points stand for the reel spots/stops and a (pay)line is a finite set of minimum 3 points that can Slot machine math connected through a path linking successively neighboring points of that set. This definition can be extended to several lines (m), as follows: We call m lines independent if every pair of lines from them are independent.

Another possibility is to put more symbols on each reel. On the contrary, lines  and  not intersecting each other in the last but one figure are independent.

The non-independent lines (intersecting or non-intersecting) for which there are non-shared stops belonging to the How to play online slot machines reels (like lines  and  in the last figure) are called linked lines.

As I understand it, the mathematical model consists of winning combination probabilities and the pay table. If E is the event exactly m instances of S (), then:

                                   

     (3)

where  and  are the basic probabilities (the probability of symbol S occurring on reel number j, respectively k).

Probability calculus tools for events related to several lines
For events related to several lines, other properties of probability are used (for instance, the inclusion-exclusion principle), along with formulas (1) and (2) and some approximation methods necessary for the ease of computations.

But the astronomical jackpots you see in casinos today would then require truly enormous machines.

slot machine

Inge Telnaes proposed a simple solution: Let a random number generator — a computer chip Slot machine math determine the combination of symbols that appear when the reels stop.

But let a computer chip pick such a number, put the chip in a machine with blinking lights and spinning reels, and many people will be more than willing to make the bet. Probabilities , respectively  are called basic probabilitiesin slots.

Winning combinations, slots events
Any winning rule on a payline is expressed through a combination of symbols (for instance, the specific combination     ) or a type of combinations of symbols (for instance, any bar-symbol twice or any triple of symbols) and any outcome is a specific combination of stops on that line.

These are unions of events that are types of combinations of stops expressed through specific numbers of identical symbols (like the complex events of type 2), related to several lines.

how to build a slot machine

The common Slots of vegas 2021 events on a payline are:

Winning event

Case A

Case B

 – A specific symbol three times
(for example, (  ))

table

formula and tables

 – Any symbol three times (triple)

 

 

 – A specific symbol exactly twice
(for example, (  any))

table

formula and tables

 – Any symbol exactly twice (double)

 

 

 – A specific symbol exactly once
(for example, (  any  any))

   

 – Any combination of two specific symbols 
(for example, (mix   & )that is (   ) or (   ))

tables

formula

 – Any combination of at least one of three specific symbols
(for example, (any bar  any bar  any bar ), with three bar symbols like  , ,  ) 

formula

formula

(The symbols from the examples are just for illustrating the winning combinations and may be replaced by symbols of any graphic.

In actuality, there are typically many winning combination, and as a result, the jackpot would have to be even smaller.

The following story in Wired Magazine shows the drawbacks of the new generation of slot machines — they are easier to hack and to counterfit than their mechanical counterpart http://www.wired.com/magazine//07/ff_scammingslots/.

Here is a more exhaustive discussion of the history of slot machines, and the random number generators within them http://catlin.casinocitytimes.com/article/non-random-randomness-part You may want to scroll towards the end of the article to read about how flaws in the design of gambling machine resulted in somebody picking 19 out of 20 winning numbers in a game of KENO — and doing so 3 times in a row.


The distribution and arrangement of the symbols on each reel is also part of the configuration of a slot machine. For instance,     on paylines 1, 3, or 5 is a complex event of type 2 expressed through "two seven and one plum symbols".

Slot machine math instance, take lines  and  in the last figure. In actuality, there are typically many winning combination, and as a result, the jackpot would have to be even smaller.

Clever gamblers use mathematics to look for the smallest advantages, and casinos use sophisticated mathematical tools to devise new ways of drawing in players.

Indeed, a patent granted to the Norwegian mathematician Inge Telnaes in transformed the gambling industry. Besides being difficult to tune and maintain, mechanical slot machines suffered from an essential problem: Let�s look at a machine with three reels, each with 12 symbols, with one of those 12 symbols a cherry.

Random selection means that each time the lever is pulled and the reels are. For instance, the operator could make the three cherries appear only once in a million spins.

This was a brilliant insight: Suppose I pick a number between one and a million.

The fascinating maths and economics of slot machines | US news | The Guardian

  1. Each slot machine belongs to one of the two types: Type A – All reels have the same distribution of symbols; Type B – The reels have different numbers of stops.Tag - Slot Machine Math livesgpcom.net › slots.
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  • Would you be willing to bet that you can guess that number? The number of possible outcomes on the slot machine does not change. Lines can be of any shape and complexity and have all kinds of geometrical and topological properties. These are events that are types of combinations of stops expressed through specific numbers of identical symbols, related to several lines. Ever since, the histories of mathematics and gambling have been.

    You can find the complete collection of practical results in the book The Mathematics of Slots: Configurations, Combinations, Probabilities, for 3-reel, 5-reel, 9-reel, and reel slot machines. 

    3-reel slot machines
    The 3-reel slot machines could have the following common configurations of the display: 1 x 3, 2 x 3, 3 x 3. The number of possible outcomes on the slot machine does not change.

    That does not seem attractive by today�s standards.

    Slot machine math

    The answer is probably not. The practical results are presented as both specific formulas, ready for inputting the parameters of the slot game, and computed numerical results, where the specific formulas allow the generation of two-dimensional tables of values. Another consequence is that if two lines are independent, they do not intersect each other.
    If two lines do not intersect each other, they are not necessarily independent.

    Read more on configurations

    Parameters and variables of the probability models
    We denote by pthe number of distinct symbols  of the machine. The reel 4 x 4-display slot machine could have 8 to 22 paylines of length 4, as follows: 4 horizontal, 4 vertical, 2 oblique (diagonal), or 12 trapezoidal lines.

    For events related to linked lines, the probability estimations are only possible if we know the arrangements of the symbols on the reels, not only their distributions.


    All probabilities were worked out under the following assumptions:
    - the reels spin independently;
    - a payline does not contain two stops of the same reel (it crosses over the reels without overlapping them); this reverts to the fact that any m events, each one related to one stop of the payline, are independent of each other;
    - each reel contains p symbols; this is actually a convention: if a symbol does not appear on a reel, we could simply take its distribution on that reel as being zero.

    Given parameters
    Of course, any practical application can be fulfilled only if we know in advance the parameters of the given slot machine, that is, the numbers of stops of the reels and the symbol distributions on the reels.

    From probabilistic point of view, any two or more events each related to a line from a group of independent lines are independent, in the sense of the definition of independence of events from probability theory.

    Independent and non-independent lines in a 3 x 3-display of a 9-reel slot machine

    In the previous figure, Slot machines free to play no download  and  are independent, while  and , as well as  and  are non-independent (for the last two pairs, the lines have a stop in common).

    Non-independent lines in a 4 x 5-display of a 5-reel slot machine

    In the previous figure, lines  and ,  and ,  and , and therefore , , and , are non-independent, since within each of the mentioned groups we have stops of the same reel on different lines.

    In case B, we have the same  number of possible combinations of symbols and  possible combinations of stops for that payline of length n.

    With regard to the complexity of the events in respect to the ease of the probability computations, we have:

    Simple events.

    The University of Houston mathematics department presents this program about the machines that make our civilization run, and the people whose ingenuity created them. livesgpcom.net › Slot machine math. This means that the outcome on one line does not depend on the outcome of the other and vice versa. Slot games have a surprisingly strong correlation with mathematics, making it almost impossible to win a slot game without doing a little.

    The likelihood of getting three cherries, and winning the jackpot, is 1 in 1, If the casino wants to make money, the jackpot payout should be, say $1, on a $1 bet. Prior to Telnaes� invention, slot machines were essentially mechanical devices.

    slot machine par sheet

    In a detailed and high-quality study, we offer this two-part column by our expert Solsiree. These are the events related to one line, which are types of combinations of stops expressed through specific numbers of identical symbols (instances). Therefore, it is not a so-called how-to-win book, but a complete, rigorous mathematical guide for the slot player and also for game producers, being unique in this respect.

    For two non-independent lines, the outcome of one is influenced (partially or totally) by the outcome of the other.

    slot machine programming

    For instance, the operator could make the three cherries appear only once in a million spins.

    This was a brilliant insight: Suppose I pick a number between one Slot machine math a million. For the same parameters of the machine, the probabilities of the above events are the same regardless of the chosen graphic for the symbols.)
    Unions of winning events on a payline (disjunctions of the previous events  through , operated with or):

    Winning event

    Case A

    Case B

    8.  A specific symbol at least twice

    table

    formula and tables

    9.  A specific symbol at least once

     

     

      A specific symbol three times or another specific symbol twice

    table

    formula

      A specific symbol three times or another specific symbol once

     

     

    A specific symbol three times or another specific symbol at least once

    table

    formula

      A specific symbol three times or any combination of that symbol with another specific symbol

    table

    formula

      A specific symbol twice or another specific symbol once

     

     

      A specific symbol twice or any Slot fish definition of at least one of three other specific symbols

     

     

    On a 3-reel 2 x 3- or 3 x 3-display slot machine, any two paylines are linked; therefore we cannot estimate the probabilities of the winning events related to several lines.

    reel slot machines
    The reel slot machines usually have the 4 x 4 configuration of the display.

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    Clever gamblers use mathematics to look for the smallest advantages, and casinos use sophisticated mathematical tools to devise new ways of drawing in players.

    Indeed, a patent granted to the Norwegian mathematician Inge Telnaes in transformed the gambling industry. Contact us with subject "slots data project" if you want to be part of our future project.

    Practical applications and numerical probabilities

    This section is dedicated to practical results, in which the general formulas are particularized in order to provide results for the most common categories of slot games and winning events.

    The slot machine image was taken by Jeff Kubina.

    Slot machine math

    The likelihood of getting three cherries, and winning the jackpot, is 1 in 1, If the casino wants to make money, the jackpot payout should be, say $1, on a $1 bet. “Payouts on slots are statistically calculated,” says Ambrose. The answer is probably not. But the astronomical jackpots you see in casinos today would then require truly enormous machines.

    slot machine

    Inge Telnaes proposed a simple solution: Let a random number generator — a computer chip — determine the combination of symbols that appear when the reels stop.

    And that gives those who know math a very solid advantage.

    I'm Kre�imir Josi&#;, at the University of Houston, where we're interested in the way inventive minds work.

    (Theme music)


    NOTE: In the example with three cherries, I assumed that one only wins in the case the spin results in three cherries, and there is no other winning combination.

    slot machine probability calculator

    It could also have 4 oblique lines of length 3.

    The common winning events on a payline are:       Mobile slots no deposit event

    Case A

    Case B

     – A specific symbol four times (on a payline of length at least  4; for example, (   ))

    table

    formula

     – Any symbol four times (quadruple; on a payline of length at least 4)

     

     

     – A specific symbol exactly three times (on a payline of length at least 3; for example, (  Slot machine math !vml]> – Any symbol exactly three times (triple) (on a payline of length at least 3)

     

     

     – Any combination of two specific symbols (on a payline of length at least 3; for example, (mix Crypto slots usa )that is (    ) or (    ) or (    ), for a payline of length 4)

    tables

    formula

     –    Any combination Deposit bonus slots at least one of three specific symbols (on Slot machine math payline of length at least 3; for example, (any bar  any bar  any bar  any bar), with three bar symbols like  , , , for a payline of length 4).

     

     

    The table notes the probabilities of the winning events on a payline of length 4.

    Unions of winning events on a payline (disjunctions of the previous events  through , operated with or):

    Winning event

    Case A

    Case B

    7.  A specific symbol at least three times

    table

    formula

    8.  A specific symbol four times or anotherspecific symbol three times

     

     

    9.  A specific symbol four times or another specific symbol at least three times

    tables

    formula

      A specific symbol four times or any combination of that symbol with another specific symbol

    tables

    formula

      A specific symbol three times or any combination of at least one of three other specific symbols

     

     

    Winning events on several paylines
    For the probabilities of these events, we considered only paylines of the regular length 4 in case A.

      A winning event on any of the horizontal lines
      A winning event on any of the vertical lines
      A winning event on any of the horizontal or vertical lines
      A winning event on either or both of the diagonals
      A winning event on any of the horizontal or diagonal lines
      A winning event on any of the vertical or diagonal lines
      A winning event on any of the horizontal, vertical, or diagonal lines
      A winning event on any of the left-right trapezoidal lines
      A winning event on any of the horizontal or left-right trapezoidal lines

    Table

    Click here for audio of Episode

    Today, the mathematics of slot machines.

    We have  possible combinations of stops in case A and  possible combinations of symbols on a payline of length n across n reels. For more complex events, we must apply the general formula (1), which reverts to counting the number of favorable combinations of stops F(E), or, for particular situations, apply formula (2) several times and add the results.
    In case B, the number of variables is larger and therefore most of the explicit formulas from case B are too overloaded.

    Of course, taking into account the incomputable error ranges of such approximations, any credible information regarding these parameters should prevail over these methods of estimating them.
    The Mathematics Department of Infarom will launch soon the project Probability Sheet for any Slot Game, dealing with collecting statistical data from slot players, using the data to estimate the parameters of the slot machine, refining the estimations with the newly collected data and computing the probabilities and other statistical indicators attached to the payout schedule of the slot machine, in order to provide the so-called PAR sheet of any slot game on the market.

    For example,     on a payline of length 3 is a simple event, defined as "two seven and one orange symbols".

    Complex events of type 1.

    However, the only way to increase the payout is to decrease the chances of hitting a jackpot.

    Adding another reel is a possibility. Pressing spin activates.

    Click here for audio of Episode

    Today, the mathematics of slot machines. At least one cherry on at least one payline is also a complex event of type 3.

    General formulas of the probability of the winning events related to one payline

    For an event E related to a line of length n, the general formula of the probability of E is:

                 in case A and  in case B,     (1)


    where F(E) is the number of combinations of stops favorable for the event E to occur.

    For an event E expressed through the number of instances of each symbol on a payline in case A, formula (1) is equivalent to:

                           

         (2)

    where  is the number of instances of , and so on,  is the number of instances of  ().

    Formula (2) can be directly applied for winning events defined through the distribution of all symbols on the payline, in case A.

    These are simple events.

    Both images are from Wikipedia.

    Mathematicians first got interested in randomness by studying games of chance. That person walked away with $, but only after some controversy. Any other category of slot games is covered in the theoretical part of the book, where the general formulas apply not only to existing slot games, but also to possible future slot games of any design and configuration.

    That does not seem attractive by today�s standards. Ever since, the histories of mathematics and gambling have been intertwined. The content is organized so that readers can skip the theoretical parts and go picking the practical results (numerical, in tables of values where possible, or ready-to-compute formulas) for the desired situation. It doesn't look simple at first, but once you see exactly how the machines work, you can use this knowledge.

    Parameter pis specific to the machine.
    We denote by nthe length of a certain payline. In the long run, the only sure way to make money by gambling is to create the illusion that your opponent can win, while keeping the odds firmly on your side. The slot machine image was taken by Jeff Kubina. Slot machine math is really simple. In the long run, the only sure way to make money by gambling is to create the illusion that your opponent can win, while keeping the odds firmly on your side.

    For the popular game of slots, mathematics already fulfilled its duty by providing all the data that it can provide and that cannot be found on the display of the slot machines - it is all here in this book.


    Configurations
    There is a wide variety of the slot machines with regard to parametric design and rules. This eighth book of the author on gambling math presents in T slot joint terms the cold mathematics behind the sparkling slot machines, either physical or.

    Slot machine math

    The University of Houston mathematics department presents this program about the machines that make our civilization run, and the people whose ingenuity created them. Prior to Telnaes� invention, slot machines were essentially mechanical devices. But let a computer chip pick such a number, put the chip in a machine with blinking lights and spinning reels, and many people will be more than willing to make the bet.

    The collection of results hold for winning combinations with no wild symbols (jokers) and is partial. These are unions of simple events related to one line. Quite simply, to calculate the total number of possible. Having these data along with the mathematical results of this book, anyone can generate the PAR sheet of any slot machine.

    Slot machine math

    It contains all the mathematical facts grounding the configuration, functionality, outcome, and profits of the slot games. Mathematicians first got interested in randomness by studying games of chance. All the probability formulas and tables of values are ultimately useless without this information.
    In the book The Mathematics of Slots: Configurations, Combinations, Probabilities you will find explained some methods of estimating these parameters based on empirical data collected through statistical observation and physical measurements.

    Ever since, the histories of mathematics and gambling have been intertwined. The book is packed with plenty of figures, tables, Slot machine math formulas. We take here one particular type of events for which we present its probability formula in terms of basic probabilities, namely the events expressed through a number of instances of one symbol.

    That person walked away with $, but only after some controversy. So how do slot machines decide who wins and who loses? There are horizontal, vertical, oblique, or broken lines; symmetric, transversal Gta online casino slot machine jackpot triangular, trapezoidal, zigzag, stair, or double-stair lines. For instance adding a fourth reel in the previous example would get us to a jackpot of about $20, But people do not like machines with more reels — they intuitively, and rightfully, feel that extra reels diminish their chance of winning.

    The event    on at least one payline is also a complex event of type 2.

    Complex events of type 3. It could also have 4 transversal stair lines of length 7, 12 double-stair lines of length 6, or 10 double-stair lines of length 8.

    For more mathematics in everyday life, visitkjosic.wordpress.com.

     

    This episode was first aired on September 7th,



    The Engines of Our Ingenuity is Copyright © by John H. Lienhard.


    Previous Episode | Index | Home | Next Episode

    This eighth book of the author on gambling math presents in accessible terms the cold mathematics behind the sparkling slot machines, either physical or virtual.

    For instance, the event any triple on a payline of length 3 of a fruit machine is a complex event of type 1, as being the union Slot machine math the simple events       , and so on (consider all the symbols of that machine).

    In other words, use a chip to control where the reels stop on a spin, but create the illusion that the wheels stopped on their own.

    slot machine probability mathematics

    Both images are from Wikipedia.

    The following story in Wired Magazine shows the drawbacks of the new generation of slot machines — they are easier to hack and to counterfit than their mechanical counterpart http://www.wired.com/magazine//07/ff_scammingslots/.

    Here is a more exhaustive discussion of the history of slot machines, and the random number generators within them http://catlin.casinocitytimes.com/article/non-random-randomness-part You may want to scroll towards the end of the article to read about how flaws in the design of gambling machine resulted in somebody picking 19 out of 20 winning numbers in a game of KENO — and doing so 3 times in a row.

    You do not have to be an accountant, analyst, or even a statistician.

    Back when I worked security in an Atlantic City casino, patrons would often ask me, “Which slot machine is the one that’s going to hit?” My usual response was, “If I knew that, I wouldn’t be working here anymore,” followed by a knowing chuckle. Never failed to get at least a smile in return.

    Now that I’m the Director of the Center for Gaming Research at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, every now and then someone asks me, “Which machine is the one that’s going to hit?” My usual response is the same, but I’m in a better position to explain how slots work, why people play them, and what you should know about them.

    Slot machines remain the most important money-making part of casinos in the United States.

    In many states, casinos make between 65 and 80 percent of their gambling income from slots. In Las Vegas, the percentage varies from 88 percent in casinos that cater primarily to locals to 50 percent on the Las Vegas Strip, where high rollers betting tens of thousands a dollar a hand skews the results in favor of table games. Every day, players put millions of dollars into slot machines.

    Why?

    A modern slot machine is simple to play. Players insert currency, decide on their bet amount, press spin, and hope for the best. There are many varieties of slot machines in casinos today, from machines with physical spinning reels (industry folks call them “steppers”) to slots that replicated spinning reels on a video screen, but they all play essentially the same way.

    Video poker is a special variant of video slot in which players Slot machine math use some skill in holding the most advantageous cards. All other slot machines, whatever their branding, are games of pure chance.

    The chance aspect of slot machines is what makes them so appealing to so many people.

    If you know how to put cash into a slot and push a button, you have just as good a shot at winning a jackpot as someone who’s been playing for twenty years. In the end, it all comes down to luck. And who doesn’t feel lucky, sometimes?

    Slot machines appeal to casinos because they are, as long as enough people play them, stable money-makers.

    To explain why they are so reliable for casinos, I talked to Bob Ambrose, who broke into the industry at the Tropicana Atlantic City in the early s and is today a gaming consultant and casino management instructor at Fairleigh Dickinson University. “It is all,” he says, “about the game math.”

    When casinos look at how a slot machine is performing, the most basic number they look at is the drop.

    That is the money deposited by the player in the machines. Another number you might hear is handle, which Ambrose defines as the total amount bet by a player. How can a player bet more money than she puts in? Well, if she puts in $, wins a $50 jackpot, and keeps on playing until all her money is gone (including that $50 "win"), she has generated a drop of $ and handle of $

    What’s left after the machine pays out its jackpots is the casino win, also known as revenue.

    So how do slot machines decide who wins and who loses?

    “Payouts on slots are statistically calculated,” says Ambrose. Pressing spin activates the random number generator, which is an algorithm that determines whether each spin is a win or a loss, and how big a win is. Each game, Ambrose says, has a set hold percentage and a pay table that details how often and how much games will pay back.

    PHILIPPE LOPEZ/AFP/Getty Images

    Games with low Slot queen illness, like video poker, pay back more frequently but in smaller amounts, while high volatility games, like the Megabucks progressive, have fewer, bigger (think several million dollars at most) hits.

    So while the potential payoff from a high volatility game can be bigger, your money will usually buy you more time playing on a low volatility game.

    Can a player get an edge on a slot which relies on pure chance? Not really. “There is a statistical advantage for the casinos,” Ambrose says. “The math of the game ensures that casinos generate a consistent positive win for themselves.”

    But the player can benefit from one thing: if slot machines never paid out anything, players would stop playing, and casinos would go out of business.

    Most jurisdictions mandate that slots return a set minimum amount to players (85 percent is the magic number in Nevada, though most machines return more than that on average). It might not be much comfort when you’ve lost your last credit, but someone has to win a piece of that 85 percent, and next time it might be you.

    And that is the appeal of slots, to casino manager and jackpot hunter alike.

    “For the player,” concludes Ambrose, “there has to be a realistic chance to win. But in the long run, the edge will always fall in the casino’s favor.”

    Something to remember, because no matter how lucky you feel, eventually the casino will get luckier.

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